Auxerre vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities
Auxerre v Nice — Team-Based Signals
Auxerre vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Auxerre 2-1 Nice — Actual Match Statistics
Auxerre edged past Nice 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
From a near-even 39% / 28% / 33% read, it was Auxerre who turned the coin-flip their way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.74, roughly 57%.
The match data tells the story: Auxerre had 52% of the ball to Nice's 48%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.84 to 1.33 — on chances, Nice could feel hard done by.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Auxerre and 1.17 for Nice.
Auxerre vs Nice Result & Final Score
Auxerre 2-1 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Auxerre vs Nice Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 39%, draw 28%, Nice 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auxerre), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.