Monaco 0-1 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 10 May 2026

Monaco
0-1 HT 0-0
Lille
📅10/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Monaco vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
2.1
Over
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 ✓
31%
3.94
2-3
37%
1.81
4-5
22%
2.96
6+
10%
9.23
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.94 — our 31% vs market 19.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.64
1/2
8%
25.0
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
18%
5.87
X/2
12%
5.77
X/X
9%
5.16
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
3.54
2/X
9%
12.55
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Monaco v Lille — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille The Market 40%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.66/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.11
+21% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
15.2 Crosses 15.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Monaco vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lille
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.31 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 Passes 354
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2025 Lille Lille 1-0 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
22.02.2025 Lille Lille 2-1 HT 2-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
18.10.2024 Monaco Monaco 0-0 Lille Lille FR1
24.04.2024 Monaco Monaco 1-0 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1
29.10.2023 Lille Lille 2-0 HT 2-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
14.05.2023 Monaco Monaco 0-0 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1

Monaco 0-1 Lille — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
0-1
AWAY Lille
0.37 xG 0.39
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
381 Passes 300
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Monaco vs Lille
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lille squeezed past Monaco 1-0 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

A gentle 44% lean on Monaco didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.53, roughly 65%.

By the numbers, possession split 55% to 45% in Monaco's favour, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.37 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Monaco against 0.83 for Lille.

Monaco vs Lille Result & Final Score

Monaco 0-1 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Monaco vs Lille Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Monaco 44%, draw 25%, Lille 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monaco), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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