Le Havre 0-1 Marsilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 10 May 2026

Le Havre
0-1 HT 0-0
Marsilya
📅10/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Le Havre vs Marsilya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.23
Over Pick
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.34
2-3
37%
1.86
4-5
27%
2.8
6+
13%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.33
1/2 ✗
13%
21.15
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
9%
7.84
X/2
19%
4.83
X/X
10%
5.53
2/1
5%
32.0
2/2
19%
2.52
2/X
8%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.15 — our 13% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Le Havre v Marsilya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya The Market 53%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.38/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.35
+0% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -8%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
318 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 84%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
23.1 Crosses 20.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Le Havre vs Marsilya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Marsilya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.76 xG 2.87
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
295 Passes 599
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
11 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.10.2025 Marsilya Marsilya 6-2 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
10.05.2025 Le Havre Le Havre 1-3 HT 0-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
05.01.2025 Marsilya Marsilya 5-1 HT 3-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
19.05.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 1-2 HT 0-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
08.10.2023 Marsilya Marsilya 3-0 HT 2-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
17.01.2009 Marsilya Marsilya 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1

Le Havre 0-1 Marsilya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
0-1
AWAY Marsilya
1.14 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
310 Passes 317
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Le Havre vs Marsilya
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Marsilya squeezed past Le Havre 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 50% to 50% in Le Havre's favour, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.14 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya led the recent series with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Le Havre against 3.50 for Marsilya.

Le Havre vs Marsilya Result & Final Score

Le Havre 0-1 Marsilya in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Le Havre vs Marsilya Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 26%, draw 23%, Marsilya 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsilya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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