Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Vitoria v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Vitoria 2-1 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria edged past Vasco da Gama 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vitoria as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, Vasco da Gama saw more of the ball, 64% to 36%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.53 to 0.67.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Vitoria against 1.00 for Vasco da Gama.
Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama Result & Final Score
Vitoria 2 - 1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 48%, draw 30%, Vasco da Gama 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.