PAOK 1-0 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 11 May 2025

PAOK
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
AEK Atina
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

PAOK vs AEK Atina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.06
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.89
Over
50%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.27
2-3
47%
1.77
4-5
22%
3.34
6+
5%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.94
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
16%
5.0
X/2
10%
7.17
X/X
17%
4.74
2/1
3%
25.0
2/2
15%
5.15
2/X
5%
13.45
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

PAOK v AEK Atina — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME PAOK The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.40 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.17
1.13 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.62
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3

PAOK vs AEK Atina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AEK Atina
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.50 xG 1.17
44% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
211 Passes 306
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.03.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-3 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
02.02.2025 PAOK PAOK 1-2 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
09.01.2025 PAOK PAOK 1-1 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
18.12.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUK
20.10.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-1 HT 1-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
28.04.2024 PAOK PAOK 3-2 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN

PAOK 1-0 AEK Atina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
1 - 0
AWAY AEK Atina
0.77 xG 0.88
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
172 Passes 368
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW PAOK vs AEK Atina
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PAOK squeezed past AEK Atina 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AEK Atina saw more of the ball, 65% to 35%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.77 to 0.88.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for PAOK against 1.50 for AEK Atina.

PAOK vs AEK Atina Result & Final Score

PAOK 1 - 0 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PAOK vs AEK Atina Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split PAOK 45%, draw 28%, AEK Atina 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
11 May 2025
20:00 Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos Analysis →