Grobina 0-0 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
2.10/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.52
+24% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
18.9 Crosses 25.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FS Jelgava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 1.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
232 Passes 318
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.03.2026 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-1 HT 0-1 Grobina Grobina LET
29.08.2025 Grobina Grobina 3-2 HT 3-2 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
22.06.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-1 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
29.04.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
06.03.2025 Grobina Grobina 1-1 HT 0-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
09.11.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
0-0
AWAY FS Jelgava
0.23 xG 0.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
281 Passes 252
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grobina vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grobina and FS Jelgava played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Grobina had 52% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 48%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.23 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grobina had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grobina and 1.00 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of Grobina vs FS Jelgava?

Grobina 0-0 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grobina 38%, draw 26%, FS Jelgava 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Grobina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grobina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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