Estrela 0-0 Famalicao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.75
6+ Goals
11%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.63
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
26.0
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
13%
7.31
X/2
12%
4.62
X/X
15%
4.38
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.76
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.9pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao EU Bookmakers 50%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
0.85/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.11
-32% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
17.1 Crosses 20.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Famalicao
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.77 xG 1.34
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
277 Passes 317
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2025 Famalicao Famalicao 2-3 HT 2-2 Estrela Estrela POR
25.01.2025 Famalicao Famalicao 0-0 HT 0-0 Estrela Estrela POR
19.08.2024 Estrela Estrela 0-3 HT 0-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
16.03.2024 Famalicao Famalicao 0-0 HT 0-0 Estrela Estrela POR
29.10.2023 Estrela Estrela 1-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela
0-0
AWAY Famalicao
0.26 xG 1.97
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
223 Passes 408
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estrela vs Famalicao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela and Famalicao played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Famalicao at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estrela had 39% of the ball to Famalicao's 61%, shots finished 4-15, expected goals 0.26 to 1.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Estrela had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Estrela and 1.00 for Famalicao.

What was the final score of Estrela vs Famalicao?

Estrela 0-0 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela vs Famalicao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estrela 32%, draw 27%, Famalicao 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Famalicao), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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