Santa Clara vs Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Clara v Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Santa Clara vs Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Santa Clara
POR2
Santa Clara 2-0 Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Clara saw off Nacional 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Santa Clara as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Santa Clara had 41% of the ball to Nacional's 59%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.53 to 0.92.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Clara and 1.33 for Nacional.
What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Nacional?
Santa Clara 2-0 Nacional in the Portugal - Premier League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 42%, draw 26%, Nacional 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.