Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria Guimaraes v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
Vitoria Guimaraes 0-1 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics
Casa Pia edged past Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Vitoria Guimaraes at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes had 71% of the ball to Casa Pia's 29%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.94 to 0.88.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 0.50 for Casa Pia.
What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?
Vitoria Guimaraes 0-1 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 52%, draw 26%, Casa Pia 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes), BTTS Yes went the other way.