NK Varazdin 2-1 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
18.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.7pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +20%
1.22/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.31
-6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.7 Crosses 17.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Varazdin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.77 xG 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
288 Passes 311
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2026 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-2 HT 0-2 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
25.10.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-3 HT 1-2 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
10.08.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 3-1 HT 1-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
22.04.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
16.02.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-1 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
10.11.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-1 HT 0-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Varazdin
2-1
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.69 xG 1.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
318 Passes 268
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ NK Varazdin vs Slaven Belupo
Match summary & frequently asked questions

NK Varazdin edged past Slaven Belupo 2-1 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 12 Apr 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, NK Varazdin had 53% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 47%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.69 to 1.14.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slaven Belupo lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NK Varazdin and 1.33 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Slaven Belupo?

NK Varazdin 2-1 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 45%, draw 22%, Slaven Belupo 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Varazdin) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NK Varazdin) ✗ Under 2.5
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