Rijeka 0-2 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.69
2-3 Goals
36%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 36% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.59/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.61
+3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
22.5 Crosses 12.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Osijek
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2026 Osijek Osijek 1-0 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
27.10.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 4-2 HT 2-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
09.08.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
23.04.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 0-2 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
16.02.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-2 HT 0-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
10.11.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
0-2
AWAY Osijek
1.30 xG 0.30
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
428 Passes 114
84% Pass Accuracy 59%
36 Box Touches 9
37 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek beat Rijeka 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rijeka at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Rijeka had 73% of the ball to Osijek's 27%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.30 to 0.30 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rijeka.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rijeka and 1.00 for Osijek.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Osijek?

Rijeka 0-2 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 56%, draw 22%, Osijek 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rijeka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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