Hajduk Split 1-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
65%
-2.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.59/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.56
-4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
20.5 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
3W-1D-2L
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.96 xG 1.13
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
347 Passes 288
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2026 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
24.10.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-3 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
10.08.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
11.05.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
09.03.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
07.12.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
1-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.41 xG 0.25
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
536 Passes 329
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split nicked a narrow win over HNK Gorica 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 60% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 40%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.41 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.83 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?

Hajduk Split 1-0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 62%, draw 19%, HNK Gorica 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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