Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.6
Over 2.5
52%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
41%
+10.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.46/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.15
+28% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
281 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
19.1 Crosses 17.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aucas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 1.06
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
254 Passes 343
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2026 Aucas Aucas 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
30.11.2025 Aucas Aucas 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
26.10.2025 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 0-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
11.09.2025 Aucas Aucas 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKVK
22.06.2025 Aucas Aucas 1-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
22.02.2025 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-0 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
0-1
AWAY Aucas
0.45 xG 2.01
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
510 Passes 239
13 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aucas squeezed past Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Aucas found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.45 to 2.01 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aucas's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cuenca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.00 for Aucas.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas?

Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 34%, draw 27%, Aucas 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aucas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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