LDU Quito 0-0 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.18
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
6%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
2%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
2%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
80%
-0.9pp
15%
Draw
14%
+0.7pp
7%
Away Win
6%
+0.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +25%
2.04/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.68
+2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +23%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
412 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 74%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
23.2 Crosses 12.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Libertad
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
320 Passes 260
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
15.12.2025 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 2-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
09.11.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
13.09.2025 Libertad Libertad 0-1 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
20.05.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
25.08.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
0-0
AWAY Libertad
1.98 xG 0.30
19 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
404 Passes 162
36 Box Touches 8
35 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito and Libertad fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had LDU Quito at 79% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.98 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for LDU Quito and 1.00 for Libertad.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Libertad?

LDU Quito 0-0 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 79%, draw 15%, Libertad 7%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (LDU Quito), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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