Libertad vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Libertad 2-1 LDU Quito — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad nicked a narrow win over LDU Quito 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Libertad had 51% of the ball to LDU Quito's 49%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.42 to 1.30.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Libertad and 2.00 for LDU Quito.
What was the final score of Libertad vs LDU Quito?
Libertad 2-1 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs LDU Quito?
Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Libertad 28%, draw 21%, LDU Quito 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LDU Quito) went the other way.