Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Del Valle v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Independiente Del Valle 3-1 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle got the better of Mushuc Runa 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 72% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 28%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.33 to 0.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.17 for Mushuc Runa.
What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa?
Independiente Del Valle 3-1 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 67%, draw 21%, Mushuc Runa 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.