Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Deportivo Cuenca — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aucas 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Cuenca edged past Aucas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Aucas at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Aucas had 63% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 37%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.09 to 0.33 — the balance of chances actually favoured Aucas.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cuenca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aucas and 2.00 for Deportivo Cuenca.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Aucas 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aucas 47%, draw 30%, Deportivo Cuenca 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aucas), BTTS Yes went the other way.