Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Deportivo Cuenca — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aucas 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Actual Match Statistics
Aucas edged past Deportivo Cuenca 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aucas as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Aucas had 62% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 38%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.91 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aucas's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cuenca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aucas and 2.33 for Deportivo Cuenca.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Aucas 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aucas 46%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cuenca 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.