Macara vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macara v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Macara vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Macara
EKV1
Macara 2-0 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Macara got the better of El Nacional 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Macara as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Macara had 60% of the ball to El Nacional's 40%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.08 to 0.77.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Macara and 1.00 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of Macara vs El Nacional?
Macara 2-0 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macara vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Macara 62%, draw 20%, El Nacional 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macara) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.