Dordrecht 3-4 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 12 Dec 2025

📅12/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.29 — our 26% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.95
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
18%
5.0
X/2
15%
7.05
X/X
12%
4.88
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
9%
5.01
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.5pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.44/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.06
+9% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
21.7 Crosses 18.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
1W-5D-0L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 Passes 297
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2025 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-2 HT 2-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
20.12.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-3 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
13.09.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
15.03.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
29.09.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
03.02.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
3-4
AWAY FC Eindhoven
3.95 xG 1.66
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
299 Passes 224
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven nicked a narrow win over Dordrecht 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dordrecht at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dordrecht had 54% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 46%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 3.95 to 1.66 — on chances, Dordrecht could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dordrecht and 1.00 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs FC Eindhoven?

Dordrecht 3-4 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 42%, draw 26%, FC Eindhoven 31%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dordrecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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