FC Oss 3-4 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 12 Dec 2025

📅12/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.09
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
66%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.64
6+ Goals
14%
6.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
9.34
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
19.65
1/X
7%
17.75
X/1
6%
12.5
X/2
19%
4.21
X/X
7%
7.06
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
37%
1.81
2/X
5%
15.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.65 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
ADO Den Haag win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
17%
-1.3pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.5pp
66%
Away Win
63%
+2.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 67%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
0.92/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.89
-16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.6
15.7 Crosses 23.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
0W-0D-6L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.71 xG 2.46
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
206 Passes 387
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2025 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 5-1 HT 4-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
22.12.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
04.10.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-5 HT 0-3 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
02.02.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-3 HT 1-3 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
06.10.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
10.03.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 2-3 HT 1-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
3-4
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.96 xG 1.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 11
201 Passes 406
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 37
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag squeezed past FC Oss 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, FC Oss had 36% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 64%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.96 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Oss and 3.17 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs ADO Den Haag?

FC Oss 3-4 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 15%, draw 19%, ADO Den Haag 66%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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