De Graafschap vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
De Graafschap v Roda — Team-Based Signals
De Graafschap vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Roda
HOL2
2-0
HT 2-0
Roda
HOL2
De Graafschap 2-3 Roda — Actual Match Statistics
Roda nicked a narrow win over De Graafschap 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was De Graafschap at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
On the day, De Graafschap had 53% of the ball to Roda's 47%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.95 to 2.33.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for De Graafschap and 0.50 for Roda.
What was the final score of De Graafschap vs Roda?
De Graafschap 2-3 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs Roda?
Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 51%, draw 24%, Roda 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (De Graafschap) went the other way.