De Graafschap vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities
De Graafschap v Roda — Team-Based Signals
De Graafschap vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
De Graafschap 2-3 Roda — Actual Match Statistics
Roda nicked a narrow win over De Graafschap 3-2 on the road. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had De Graafschap at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (66%) landed.
On the day, De Graafschap had 53% of the ball to Roda's 47%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.95 to 2.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for De Graafschap and 0.50 for Roda.
De Graafschap vs Roda Result & Final Score
De Graafschap 2 - 3 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
De Graafschap vs Roda Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 55%, draw 22%, Roda 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (De Graafschap) went the other way.