Willem II 0-1 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 12 Dec 2025

📅12/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.76
2-3 Goals
35%
1.92
4-5 Goals
29%
2.68
6+ Goals
14%
6.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.32
1/2
10%
24.85
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
14%
5.85
X/2
13%
6.37
X/X
7%
5.78
2/1
7%
23.1
2/2
14%
3.8
2/X
5%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.2pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.8pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+1.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.8pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 39%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.33/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.33
-6% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
23.1 Crosses 19.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Cambuur
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.77
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
294 Passes 322
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2025 Cambuur Cambuur 2-2 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2
02.02.2024 Willem II Willem II 1-1 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
17.09.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 1-0 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
11.05.2022 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
10.12.2021 Willem II Willem II 1-3 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
21.04.2016 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 1-1 Willem II Willem II HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
0-1
AWAY Cambuur
0.75 xG 1.84
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
219 Passes 510
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Willem II vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur edged past Willem II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Willem II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Willem II had 34% of the ball to Cambuur's 66%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.75 to 1.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Willem II and 1.50 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of Willem II vs Cambuur?

Willem II 0-1 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Willem II 43%, draw 20%, Cambuur 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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