AZ Alkmaar II vs Utrecht II Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar II v Utrecht II — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar II vs Utrecht II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Utrecht II
HOL2
4-0
HT 2-0
Utrecht II
HOL2
AZ Alkmaar II 1-4 Utrecht II — Actual Match Statistics
Utrecht II ran out comfortable winners over AZ Alkmaar II 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was AZ Alkmaar II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 64% of the ball to Utrecht II's 36%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.56 to 2.37.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 0.33 for Utrecht II.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs Utrecht II?
AZ Alkmaar II 1-4 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs Utrecht II?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 42%, draw 24%, Utrecht II 34%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) went the other way.