PSV II 2-3 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 12 Dec 2025

PSV II
2-3 HT 1-0
Almere City
📅12/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

PSV II vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.17
Over 2.5
66%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.32
No
33%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.64
2-3 Goals
35%
2.28
4-5 Goals
28%
2.33
6+ Goals
19%
4.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.93
1/2 EV+ ✓
9%
19.0
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
12%
7.17
X/2
15%
5.83
X/X
9%
7.26
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
16%
2.86
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.0 — our 9% vs market 3.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 67% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.6pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.3pp
34%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.1pp
67%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.1pp
33%
BTTS No
28%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSV II v Almere City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.45/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.19
+12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
13.8 Crosses 18.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

PSV II vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Almere City
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 1.90
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
354 Passes 325
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 35
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.09.2025 Almere City Almere City 2-4 HT 2-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
03.02.2023 Almere City Almere City 1-2 HT 0-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
07.11.2022 PSV II PSV II 0-1 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
10.01.2022 PSV II PSV II 5-1 HT 3-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
22.10.2021 Almere City Almere City 3-5 HT 2-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
12.05.2021 Almere City Almere City 1-1 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2

PSV II 2-3 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
2-3
AWAY Almere City
1.10 xG 2.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 5
446 Passes 311
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PSV II vs Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almere City squeezed past PSV II 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 21% / 40%) promised a tight game; Almere City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PSV II had 57% of the ball to Almere City's 43%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.10 to 2.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Almere City's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for PSV II and 1.50 for Almere City.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Almere City?

PSV II 2-3 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split PSV II 40%, draw 21%, Almere City 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/21/40) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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