Aarau 2-0 Vaduz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 13 Mar 2026

Aarau
2-0 HT 2-0
Vaduz
📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.69
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.62
6+ Goals
15%
6.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.0pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vaduz EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.23/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.22
-14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 77%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
17.0 Crosses 16.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vaduz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.18 xG 1.36
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
286 Passes 355
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.12.2025 Vaduz Vaduz 3-2 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
13.09.2025 Aarau Aarau 1-0 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
18.04.2025 Aarau Aarau 2-2 HT 0-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
23.02.2025 Vaduz Vaduz 0-1 HT 0-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
05.10.2024 Aarau Aarau 0-0 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
20.09.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 2-5 HT 2-3 Aarau Aarau İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
2-0
AWAY Vaduz
1.80 xG 0.82
29% Ball Possession 71%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
167 Passes 543
64% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 24
POST-MATCH Aarau vs Vaduz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau beat Vaduz 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aarau had 29% of the ball to Vaduz's 71%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.80 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aarau and 1.17 for Vaduz.

What was the final score of Aarau vs Vaduz?

Aarau 2-0 Vaduz in the Switzerland Challenge League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs Vaduz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aarau 45%, draw 22%, Vaduz 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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