Bellinzona vs Etoile Carouge Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bellinzona v Etoile Carouge — Team-Based Signals
Bellinzona vs Etoile Carouge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bellinzona 0-3 Etoile Carouge — Actual Match Statistics
Etoile Carouge cruised past Bellinzona 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Etoile Carouge made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Bellinzona had 53% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 47%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.29 to 0.54.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bellinzona and 2.50 for Etoile Carouge.
What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Etoile Carouge?
Bellinzona 0-3 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Etoile Carouge?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 37%, draw 26%, Etoile Carouge 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.