Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.12
6+ Goals
9%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 29% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.71
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
17%
4.83
X/2
9%
7.57
X/X
12%
5.17
2/1
9%
23.3
2/2
15%
5.41
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.6pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +3%
1.95/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.64
+21% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
17.2 Crosses 15.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
525 Passes 380
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
26.05.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 HT 1-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
03.09.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 0-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
09.04.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 3-0 HT 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
10.10.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-3 HT 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
23.05.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 0-3 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
1-1
AWAY Houston Dynamo
0.43 xG 1.89
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
352 Passes 501
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Los Angeles Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy and Houston Dynamo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Los Angeles Galaxy at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 42% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 58%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.43 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.67 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo?

Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 47%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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