Real Salt Lake 1-0 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 28% vs market 20.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.58
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
13%
4.73
X/2
13%
7.9
X/X
14%
5.35
2/1
7%
22.45
2/2
12%
5.68
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +9%
1.58/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.60
-12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.0 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Salt Lake
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.37 xG 1.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
335 Passes 380
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-2 HT 1-2 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
15.09.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 4-1 HT 2-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
06.08.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 3-0 HT 3-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake CONLK
04.07.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-2 HT 2-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
12.11.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
07.11.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-1 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Salt Lake
1-0
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.35 xG 1.59
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 Passes 489
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Real Salt Lake edged past Houston Dynamo 1-0 in the USA - Major League on 13 Jul 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Salt Lake had 41% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 59%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 1.35 to 1.59.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Salt Lake and 2.00 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo?

Real Salt Lake 1-0 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 40%, draw 27%, Houston Dynamo 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Salt Lake), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Salt Lake) ✓ Under 2.5
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