Atalanta vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atalanta v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals
Atalanta vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Sporting CP
AVL
1-2
HT 0-2
Atalanta
AVL
Atalanta 2-1 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta nicked a narrow win over Sporting CP 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Atalanta found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Atalanta had 41% of the ball to Sporting CP's 59%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.62 to 1.21.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atalanta had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atalanta and 1.00 for Sporting CP.
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Sporting CP?
Atalanta 2-1 Sporting CP in the UEFA Europa League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atalanta vs Sporting CP?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 40%, draw 30%, Sporting CP 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.