Rangers vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rangers v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Rangers vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Benfica
AVL
3-3
HT 1-2
Rangers
AVL
Rangers 0-1 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica nicked a narrow win over Rangers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Rangers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Rangers had 59% of the ball to Benfica's 41%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.65 to 1.61.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Rangers and 2.33 for Benfica.
What was the final score of Rangers vs Benfica?
Rangers 0-1 Benfica in the UEFA Europa League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rangers vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rangers 41%, draw 25%, Benfica 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.