Villarreal vs Marsilya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villarreal v Marsilya — Team-Based Signals
Villarreal vs Marsilya Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Villarreal
HAZ
1-1
HT 0-1
Villarreal
HAZ
Villarreal 3-1 Marsilya — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal got the better of Marsilya 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Villarreal had 64% of the ball to Marsilya's 36%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 1.92 to 1.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Marsilya led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Villarreal and 2.33 for Marsilya.
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Marsilya?
Villarreal 3-1 Marsilya in the UEFA Europa League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Marsilya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 41%, draw 27%, Marsilya 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.