Rockdale Ilinden 0-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.2pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.4pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.1pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.58/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.71
+19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses 20.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
1W-0D-5L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.04 xG 1.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 5
241 Passes 329
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-2 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNSW
13.07.2025 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-4 HT 0-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
30.03.2025 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-3 HT 2-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
28.07.2024 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-1 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
21.04.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-2 HT 2-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
28.05.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-2 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers nicked a narrow win over Rockdale Ilinden 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 2.67 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Rockdale Ilinden 0-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated an APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 33%, draw 18%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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