Paksi SE 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.5
No
37%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.45
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
16%
7.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
+0.6pp
37%
BTTS No
38%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.94/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.48
+43% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
34.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
33.6 Crosses 14.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.43 xG 2.19
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
314 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 27
36 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.11.2025 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
17.08.2025 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-2 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
22.04.2025 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MACK
29.03.2025 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
24.11.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-2 HT 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
10.08.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
1-1
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
2.67 xG 0.59
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 5
291 Passes 278
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
43 Box Touches 17
40 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE and Zalaegerszegi TE shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Paksi SE at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Paksi SE had 52% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 48%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.67 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalaegerszegi TE led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Paksi SE and 1.67 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Paksi SE 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 46%, draw 24%, Zalaegerszegi TE 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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