FC Dallas 2-3 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
9%
8.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.3
1/2
5%
22.25
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1 EV+ ✗
17%
7.75
X/2
19%
4.93
X/X
13%
5.13
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
20%
2.62
2/X
3%
12.05
Value flag · X/1 at 7.75 — our 17% vs market 9.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 51%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.29/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.95
-6% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +62%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.1
15.0 Crosses 19.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.83 xG 1.84
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
315 Passes 452
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2025 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
27.10.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
19.10.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
16.03.2025 FC Dallas FC Dallas 0-1 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
08.09.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
17.03.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-3 HT 1-3 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
2-3
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.35 xG 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
307 Passes 336
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps squeezed past FC Dallas 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vancouver Whitecaps as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Dallas had 49% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 51%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.35 to 0.67 — on chances, FC Dallas could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Dallas and 1.50 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

FC Dallas 2-3 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 33%, draw 23%, Vancouver Whitecaps 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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