Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Pasto 0-2 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima beat Deportivo Pasto 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Pasto at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 49% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 51%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.44 to 1.12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.17 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo Pasto 0-2 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 42%, draw 28%, Deportes Tolima 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) went the other way.