Junior 2-2 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.8pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.47/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.98
+19% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
16.1 Crosses 14.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Once Caldas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 1.09
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
319 Passes 276
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2026 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-1 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
13.02.2026 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-1 HT 2-1 Junior Junior KOL
27.07.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-2 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
14.02.2025 Junior Junior 2-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
02.12.2024 Junior Junior 1-2 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
28.11.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-2 HT 2-1 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
2-2
AWAY Once Caldas
0.98 xG 1.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
296 Passes 260
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 19
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Junior vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior and Once Caldas couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Junior at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Junior had 52% of the ball to Once Caldas's 48%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.98 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Junior and 1.33 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Junior vs Once Caldas?

Junior 2-2 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Junior 41%, draw 25%, Once Caldas 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Junior) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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