FC Dallas 2-0 Austin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.95
Over
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.42
2-3
35%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.22
6+
11%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.42 — our 30% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.75
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
13%
5.75
X/2
15%
5.58
X/X
13%
4.82
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
14%
3.58
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Austin The Market 40%
-3% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.31/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.68
+7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
15.3 Crosses 12.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Austin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.05 xG 1.22
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
302 Passes 444
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Austin Austin 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
18.07.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-1 HT 1-1 Austin Austin ABD
12.05.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
31.03.2024 Austin Austin 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
27.08.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-0 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
22.06.2023 Austin Austin 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
2-0
AWAY Austin
1.81 xG 0.68
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 6
258 Passes 395
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs Austin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dallas saw off Austin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; FC Dallas found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Dallas had 41% of the ball to Austin's 59%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.81 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Dallas and 1.33 for Austin.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Austin?

FC Dallas 2-0 Austin in the USA - Major League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Austin?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 39%, draw 26%, Austin 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Dallas), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Dallas) ✓ Under 2.5
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