Almanya 1-0 Hollanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.38
Over
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
24%
5.21
2-3
38%
1.97
4-5
24%
2.71
6+
14%
6.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.35
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
20%
4.56
X/2
12%
8.4
X/X
9%
5.99
2/1
8%
20.55
2/2
12%
5.45
2/X EV
11%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almanya EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Hollanda EU Bookmakers 29%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
3.42/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.26
+150% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
13.0 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almanya
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hollanda
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.84 xG 1.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
497 Passes 410
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.09.2024 Hollanda Hollanda 2-2 HT 1-2 Almanya Almanya AVUL
26.03.2024 Almanya Almanya 2-1 HT 1-1 Hollanda Hollanda HAZ
29.03.2022 Hollanda Hollanda 1-1 HT 0-1 Almanya Almanya HAZ
06.09.2019 Almanya Almanya 2-4 HT 1-0 Hollanda Hollanda AVŞE
24.03.2019 Hollanda Hollanda 2-3 HT 0-2 Almanya Almanya AVŞE
19.11.2018 Almanya Almanya 2-2 HT 2-0 Hollanda Hollanda AVUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almanya
1-0
AWAY Hollanda
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
427 Passes 453
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH Almanya vs Hollanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya edged past Hollanda 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almanya as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Almanya had 49% of the ball to Hollanda's 51%, shots finished 13-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almanya had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Almanya and 2.00 for Hollanda.

What was the final score of Almanya vs Hollanda?

Almanya 1-0 Hollanda in the UEFA Uluslar League on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almanya vs Hollanda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almanya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Almanya 46%, draw 26%, Hollanda 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almanya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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