Belçika vs Fransa Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Belçika v Fransa — Team-Based Signals
Belçika vs Fransa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-0
Fransa
AVUL
1-0
HT 0-0
Belçika
DK
3-4
HT 0-2
Belçika
HAZ
0-0
HT 0-0
Fransa
HAZ
Belçika 1-2 Fransa — Actual Match Statistics
Fransa squeezed past Belçika 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fransa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Belçika had 46% of the ball to Fransa's 54%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 2.69 to 1.49 — on chances, Belçika could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fransa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Belçika and 1.67 for Fransa.
What was the final score of Belçika vs Fransa?
Belçika 1-2 Fransa in the UEFA Uluslar League on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Belçika vs Fransa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fransa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Belçika 34%, draw 25%, Fransa 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.