Ukrayna 1-1 Çekya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.75
Over
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.97
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
18%
3.94
6+
9%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.97 — our 32% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.94
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
14%
5.67
X/2
14%
5.47
X/X
13%
4.16
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
12%
3.75
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ukrayna EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Çekya EU Bookmakers 39%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.03/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.71
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -67%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
14.3 Crosses 22.8
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ukrayna
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Çekya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.14 xG 1.46
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
447 Passes 287
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2024 Çekya Çekya 3-2 HT 2-1 Ukrayna Ukrayna AVUL
08.09.2021 Çekya Çekya 1-1 HT 0-1 Ukrayna Ukrayna HAZ
16.10.2018 Ukrayna Ukrayna 1-0 HT 1-0 Çekya Çekya AVUL
06.09.2018 Çekya Çekya 1-2 HT 1-1 Ukrayna Ukrayna AVUL
15.08.2012 Ukrayna Ukrayna 0-0 HT 0-0 Çekya Çekya HAZ
06.09.2011 Çekya Çekya 4-0 HT 2-0 Ukrayna Ukrayna HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ukrayna
1-1
AWAY Çekya
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
342 Passes 306
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Ukrayna vs Çekya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ukrayna and Çekya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ukrayna had 52% of the ball to Çekya's 48%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ukrayna and 1.50 for Çekya.

What was the final score of Ukrayna vs Çekya?

Ukrayna 1-1 Çekya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ukrayna vs Çekya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ukrayna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna 40%, draw 26%, Çekya 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ukrayna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ukrayna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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