İspanya 4-0 Bulgaristan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.11
Draw
20%
8.78
Away
4%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
1.0
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.95
No
52%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
16.25
2-3 Goals
28%
3.33
4-5 Goals
30%
2.29
6+ Goals
19%
2.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
3%
35.0
X/1
24%
4.7
X/2
1%
35.0
X/X
8%
32.5
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
1%
35.0
2/X
8%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
84%
-7.9pp
19%
Draw
8%
+11.5pp
4%
Away Win
8%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
30%
+17.6pp
52%
BTTS No
70%
-17.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Bulgaristan EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.81/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/2.19
-22% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -7%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
504 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
40.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.9
24.6 Crosses 7.1
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bulgaristan
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.51 xG 0.10
78% Ball Possession 22%
24 Total Shots 3
12 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
753 Passes 159
92% Pass Accuracy 70%
55 Box Touches 3
15 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
04.09.2025 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 0-3 HT 0-3 İspanya İspanya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya
4-0
AWAY Bulgaristan
3.96 xG 0.67
78% Ball Possession 22%
33 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 0
757 Passes 175
93% Pass Accuracy 73%
66 Box Touches 2
32 Crosses 3
POST-MATCH İspanya vs Bulgaristan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya cruised past Bulgaristan 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had İspanya as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İspanya had 78% of the ball to Bulgaristan's 22%, shots finished 33-3, expected goals 3.96 to 0.67.

What was the final score of İspanya vs Bulgaristan?

İspanya 4-0 Bulgaristan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya vs Bulgaristan?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split İspanya 76%, draw 19%, Bulgaristan 4%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İspanya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
14 Oct 2025
03:00 Honduras vs Haiti Analysis →
05:00 Kosta Rika vs Nikaragua Analysis →
16:00 Seyşeller vs Gambiya Analysis →
19:00 Estonya vs Moldova Analysis →
19:00 Nijerya vs Benin Analysis →
19:00 Güney Afrika vs Ruanda Analysis →