Cezayir vs Uganda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cezayir v Uganda — Team-Based Signals
Cezayir vs Uganda Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Cezayir 2-1 Uganda — Actual Match Statistics
Cezayir shaded a tight game against Uganda 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cezayir as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Cezayir had 69% of the ball to Uganda's 31%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.97 to 1.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cezayir's control.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cezayir had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Cezayir and 0.50 for Uganda.
Cezayir vs Uganda Result & Final Score
Cezayir 2 - 1 Uganda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cezayir vs Uganda Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Cezayir win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Cezayir 66%, draw 21%, Uganda 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cezayir) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.