Cezayir vs Uganda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cezayir v Uganda — Team-Based Signals
Cezayir vs Uganda Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Cezayir
AFUK
2-0
HT 1-0
Uganda
AFUK
Cezayir 2-1 Uganda — Actual Match Statistics
Cezayir squeezed past Uganda 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cezayir as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Cezayir had 69% of the ball to Uganda's 31%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.97 to 1.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cezayir's control.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cezayir had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Cezayir and 0.50 for Uganda.
What was the final score of Cezayir vs Uganda?
Cezayir 2-1 Uganda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cezayir vs Uganda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cezayir win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Cezayir 64%, draw 21%, Uganda 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cezayir) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.