Portekiz 2-2 Macaristan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Oct 2025

Portekiz
2-2 HT 2-1
Macaristan
📅14/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Portekiz vs Macaristan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.25
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
7%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.32
2-3 Goals
34%
1.99
4-5 Goals
30%
2.6
6+ Goals
13%
6.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.37
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
24.0
X/1
23%
3.83
X/2
2%
24.45
X/X
8%
9.16
2/1
12%
22.25
2/2
2%
21.15
2/X
3%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
76%
+1.2pp
16%
Draw
15%
+1.1pp
6%
Away Win
9%
-2.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portekiz v Macaristan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Macaristan EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.87/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.90
-25% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +50%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
494 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 70%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.2
31.3 Crosses 11.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Portekiz vs Macaristan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portekiz
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Macaristan
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.35 xG 0.36
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
590 Passes 253
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.09.2025 Macaristan Macaristan 2-3 HT 1-1 Portekiz Portekiz DKE
15.06.2021 Macaristan Macaristan 0-3 HT 0-0 Portekiz Portekiz AVR
03.09.2017 Macaristan Macaristan 0-1 HT 0-0 Portekiz Portekiz DKE
25.03.2017 Portekiz Portekiz 3-0 HT 2-0 Macaristan Macaristan DKE
10.10.2009 Portekiz Portekiz 3-0 HT 1-0 Macaristan Macaristan DKE
09.09.2009 Macaristan Macaristan 0-1 HT 0-1 Portekiz Portekiz DKE

Portekiz 2-2 Macaristan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz
2-2
AWAY Macaristan
2.50 xG 1.88
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
545 Passes 247
91% Pass Accuracy 80%
37 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portekiz vs Macaristan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz and Macaristan shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Portekiz carried 77% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Portekiz had 65% of the ball to Macaristan's 35%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 2.50 to 1.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portekiz had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Portekiz and 0.33 for Macaristan.

What was the final score of Portekiz vs Macaristan?

Portekiz 2-2 Macaristan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz vs Macaristan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Portekiz 77%, draw 16%, Macaristan 6%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Portekiz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portekiz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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