Türkiye vs Gürcistan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Türkiye v Gürcistan — Team-Based Signals
Türkiye vs Gürcistan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Türkiye 4-1 Gürcistan — Actual Match Statistics
Türkiye dismantled Gürcistan 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Türkiye as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, Türkiye had 45% of the ball to Gürcistan's 55%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.95 to 1.08.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Türkiye had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Türkiye and 1.33 for Gürcistan.
Türkiye vs Gürcistan Result & Final Score
Türkiye 4 - 1 Gürcistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Türkiye vs Gürcistan Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Türkiye win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Türkiye 65%, draw 19%, Gürcistan 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Türkiye), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.