Türkiye vs Gürcistan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Türkiye v Gürcistan — Team-Based Signals
Türkiye vs Gürcistan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Gürcistan
HAZ
1-0
HT 0-0
Türkiye
HAZ
2-5
HT 2-3
Türkiye
DKE
1-1
HT 0-0
Gürcistan
DKE
Türkiye 4-1 Gürcistan — Actual Match Statistics
Türkiye ran out comfortable winners over Gürcistan 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Türkiye as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Türkiye had 45% of the ball to Gürcistan's 55%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.95 to 1.08.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Türkiye had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Türkiye and 1.33 for Gürcistan.
What was the final score of Türkiye vs Gürcistan?
Türkiye 4-1 Gürcistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Türkiye vs Gürcistan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Türkiye win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Türkiye 66%, draw 17%, Gürcistan 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Türkiye), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.