Cebelitarık 1-2 Karadağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Nov 2025

Cebelitarık
1-2 HT 1-2
Karadağ
📅14/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Cebelitarık vs Karadağ Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
9.57
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
67%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.75
No
52%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.03
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
24.85
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
7%
33.5
X/1
3%
23.55
X/2
19%
3.44
X/X
10%
6.47
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
40%
1.48
2/X
6%
27.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
8%
+2.7pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.8pp
67%
Away Win
75%
-7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
32%
+15.3pp
52%
BTTS No
68%
-15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cebelitarık v Karadağ — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cebelitarık EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Karadağ EU Bookmakers 79%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.32/3.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.86/0.39
-84% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / –
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
224 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 86%
6.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.3
8.0 Crosses 18.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Cebelitarık vs Karadağ Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cebelitarık
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Karadağ
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.70 xG 3.27
30% Ball Possession 70%
3 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
184 Passes 528
67% Pass Accuracy 86%
5 Box Touches 46
8 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.03.2025 Karadağ Karadağ 3-1 HT 1-1 Cebelitarık Cebelitarık DKE
08.10.2021 Cebelitarık Cebelitarık 0-3 HT 0-2 Karadağ Karadağ DKE
27.03.2021 Karadağ Karadağ 4-1 HT 2-1 Cebelitarık Cebelitarık DKE

Cebelitarık 1-2 Karadağ — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cebelitarık
1-2
AWAY Karadağ
0.52 xG 3.36
35% Ball Possession 65%
2 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 9
116 Passes 291
58% Pass Accuracy 80%
2 Box Touches 42
7 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cebelitarık vs Karadağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karadağ nicked a narrow win over Cebelitarık 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Karadağ as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cebelitarık had 35% of the ball to Karadağ's 65%, shots finished 2-22, expected goals 0.52 to 3.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Karadağ's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Karadağ led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cebelitarık and 3.33 for Karadağ.

What was the final score of Cebelitarık vs Karadağ?

Cebelitarık 1-2 Karadağ in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cebelitarık vs Karadağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karadağ win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Cebelitarık 10%, draw 22%, Karadağ 67%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karadağ) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karadağ) ✗ BTTS No
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