Lüksemburg 0-2 Almanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
5%
12.23
Draw
13%
7.13
Away
82%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.54
2-3 Goals
37%
2.16
4-5 Goals
29%
2.46
6+ Goals
14%
4.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
35.0
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
3%
35.0
X/1
2%
35.0
X/2
15%
3.9
X/X
5%
12.35
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
57%
1.22
2/X
5%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
5%
Home Win
5%
+0.2pp
13%
Draw
10%
+3.0pp
82%
Away Win
85%
-3.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lüksemburg EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya EU Bookmakers 91%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.67/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.80
+20% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -44%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
211 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 512 · 87%
12.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.8
14.0 Crosses 21.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lüksemburg
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Almanya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.01 xG 3.85
16% Ball Possession 84%
1 Total Shots 31
1 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 7
87 Passes 735
57% Pass Accuracy 91%
1 Box Touches 64
2 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.10.2025 Almanya Almanya 4-0 HT 2-0 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lüksemburg
0-2
AWAY Almanya
1.02 xG 1.73
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
241 Passes 522
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lüksemburg vs Almanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya got the better of Lüksemburg 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Almanya as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Lüksemburg had 35% of the ball to Almanya's 65%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.02 to 1.73.

What was the final score of Lüksemburg vs Almanya?

Lüksemburg 0-2 Almanya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lüksemburg vs Almanya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almanya win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Lüksemburg 5%, draw 13%, Almanya 82%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almanya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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