Newport County 3-0 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 15 Mar 2025

Newport County
3-0 HT 2-0
Harrogate Town
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Newport County vs Harrogate Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.49
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.31
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
10%
14.05
X/1
13%
5.69
X/2
11%
5.2
X/X
15%
3.9
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.75
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newport County v Harrogate Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport County EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.27/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.47
+8% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
236 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 66%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.0 Crosses 15.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Newport County vs Harrogate Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newport County
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Harrogate Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.70 xG 0.66
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
244 Passes 311
63% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.10.2024 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
27.02.2024 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-4 HT 0-2 Newport County Newport County İN2
07.10.2023 Newport County Newport County 1-2 HT 0-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
25.04.2023 Newport County Newport County 2-3 HT 1-2 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
27.08.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-4 HT 0-4 Newport County Newport County İN2
15.01.2022 Newport County Newport County 4-0 HT 2-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2

Newport County 3-0 Harrogate Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newport County
3-0
AWAY Harrogate Town
2.50 xG 1.51
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 10
118 Passes 244
43% Pass Accuracy 60%
20 Box Touches 36
20 Crosses 30
POST-MATCH Newport County vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport County cruised past Harrogate Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Newport County found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Newport County had 41% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 59%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 2.50 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Newport County and 1.17 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Newport County vs Harrogate Town?

Newport County 3-0 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport County vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newport County win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Newport County 36%, draw 31%, Harrogate Town 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newport County), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newport County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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