Columbus Crew 0-1 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.07
6+ Goals
8%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 30% vs market 20.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.06
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.2
X/1
22%
3.97
X/2
10%
9.36
X/X
10%
6.13
2/1
12%
20.5
2/2
9%
7.34
2/X
5%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-2.4pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.7pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.77/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.54
+1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
17.9 Crosses 15.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nashville SC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.62 xG 1.72
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
482 Passes 308
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2025 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-0 HT 2-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
29.05.2025 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-2 HT 0-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
04.07.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
31.03.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-2 HT 2-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
25.06.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
29.05.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-1 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
0-1
AWAY Nashville SC
0.22 xG 1.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
552 Passes 396
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC edged past Columbus Crew 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Columbus Crew carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 57% of the ball to Nashville SC's 43%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.22 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.67 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Nashville SC?

Columbus Crew 0-1 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 56%, draw 20%, Nashville SC 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Columbus Crew) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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