Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Houston Dynamo v Portland Timbers — Team-Based Signals
Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Houston Dynamo
ABD
5-0
HT 4-0
Portland Timbers
ABD
Houston Dynamo 3-2 Portland Timbers — Actual Match Statistics
Houston Dynamo nicked a narrow win over Portland Timbers 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Houston Dynamo as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Houston Dynamo had 48% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 52%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 1.40 to 2.37 — the balance of chances actually favoured Portland Timbers.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Houston Dynamo and 1.00 for Portland Timbers.
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers?
Houston Dynamo 3-2 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 57%, draw 20%, Portland Timbers 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston Dynamo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.